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Red226
452133.6
52566.0
414535.9
Blue105
217123.5
27949.8
330132.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110102050150200250300350400226105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#35
66.05.9
69.475.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
279
#21
49.80.1
37.337.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4145
#27
35.99.8
23.533.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3301
#43
32.00.1
37.037.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4521
#19
33.65.9
16.222.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
2171
#38
23.50.1
28.929.0
Auto
Teleop
End