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Red52
381416.3
217123.5
428334.8
Blue160
320137.5
27949.8
122544.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57119010015020052160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4283
#22
34.80.7
20.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
279
#21
49.82.5
37.339.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2171
#38
23.50.7
29.028.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
1225
#29
44.02.5
46.849.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3814
#34
16.31.2
17.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.2
3201
#15
37.52.5
25.528.0
Auto
Teleop
End