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Red136
283447.9
320137.5
217123.5
Blue160
411519.5
201652.9
349477.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85141050100200250136160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#12
47.92.1
37.639.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.1
3494
#10
77.01.4
71.372.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3201
#15
37.52.1
28.030.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
52.91.4
43.644.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2171
#38
23.52.1
28.330.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4115
#41
19.52.3
17.720.0
Auto
Teleop
End