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Red120
23472.6
12044.5
55427.0
Blue161
108639.5
27839.9
86865.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610250200250300350120161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#5
72.61.4
75.674.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
868
#6
65.92.5
68.671.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
120
#30
44.51.4
49.147.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1086
#28
39.52.5
29.131.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
554
#37
27.02.3
23.120.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
2783
#25
9.92.5
12.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End