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Red223
14444.5
428334.8
498240.5
Blue17
514616.4
381416.3
411519.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886505015020025030022317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#31
44.56.9
39.946.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.0
4115
#41
19.54.3
20.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40.511.5
20.131.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.1
5146
#33
16.44.3
33.629.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4283
#22
34.86.9
24.431.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
3814
#34
16.34.3
15.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End