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Red53
400816.7
421137.1
452133.6
Blue148
428334.8
44775.0
330132.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54112015020025030053148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4211
#46
37.10.5
27.727.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.0
447
#4
75.02.3
53.155.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4521
#19
33.60.5
18.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
4283
#22
34.82.3
14.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4008
#26
16.70.5
16.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
3301
#43
32.02.3
35.838.0
Auto
Teleop
End