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Red165
428413.0
359150.1
102466.1
Blue130
428334.8
421137.1
427516.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13968050100200250300165130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#18
66.11.9
72.474.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.0
4211
#46
37.12.5
37.540.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3591
#11
50.11.9
46.047.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.3
4283
#22
34.82.5
31.333.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4284
#47
13.03.1
9.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
4275
#32
16.44.2
10.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End