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Red128
483019.0
414535.9
320137.5
Blue31
514616.4
332455.5
15295.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048305015020025030012831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#15
37.51.4
34.836.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
55.54.3
54.049.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4145
#27
35.92.1
42.945.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
5146
#33
16.44.3
23.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4830
#40
19.02.1
22.925.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
1529
#45
5.32.8
9.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End