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Red136
23472.6
266534.0
313846.2
Blue103
201652.9
20155.3
381416.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147106050200250300136103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#5
72.60.2
70.670.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
201
#16
55.30.5
53.152.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3138
#13
46.20.2
45.245.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
52.90.5
49.348.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2665
#17
34.00.2
24.724.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
3814
#34
16.30.7
9.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End