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Red20
381416.3
428413.0
483019.0
Blue192
217123.5
326656.8
164648.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379205015020020192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4830
#40
19.02.1
16.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.8
56.85.4
41.346.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3814
#34
16.32.1
16.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.8
1646
#14
48.15.4
21.627.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4284
#47
13.02.1
13.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
2171
#38
23.55.4
20.525.9
Auto
Teleop
End