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Red141
103840.2
108639.5
27949.8
Blue101
402850.3
459517.7
313846.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12012180100140160180141101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
#21
49.81.0
44.545.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
50.31.0
49.748.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1038
#24
40.21.0
41.742.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
3138
#13
46.21.0
45.244.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1086
#28
39.51.0
34.335.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.8
4595
#44
17.71.3
25.223.9
Auto
Teleop
End