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Red22
459517.7
483019.0
400816.7
Blue171
23472.6
67730.0
381416.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58113010015020025022171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4830
#40
19.02.7
22.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 53.5
234
#5
72.63.3
68.471.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4595
#44
17.72.7
23.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
677
#39
30.04.1
24.728.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4008
#26
16.72.2
20.218.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3814
#34
16.34.1
11.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End