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Red162
428334.8
332455.5
86865.9
Blue157
108639.5
14444.5
201652.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160130050100200250300162157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#6
65.90.3
65.565.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
52.91.1
52.253.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.50.4
55.756.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
144
#31
44.51.1
43.444.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4283
#22
34.80.3
34.534.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
1086
#28
39.51.1
38.940.0
Auto
Teleop
End