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Red102
108639.5
498240.5
500626.9
Blue103
266534.0
514616.4
320137.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76600100150200102103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.4
15.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3201
#15
37.52.0
25.527.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1086
#28
39.51.8
26.127.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
2665
#17
34.02.0
16.518.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5006
#36
26.91.4
31.733.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
5146
#33
16.43.4
20.624.0
Auto
Teleop
End