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Red170
23472.6
330132.0
326656.8
Blue202
86865.9
350636.3
349477.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15518850100250300350170202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#5
72.60.2
72.172.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3494
#10
77.00.3
78.178.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56.80.2
56.356.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
868
#6
65.90.3
67.067.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3301
#43
32.00.2
31.531.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
3506
#20
36.30.3
37.437.7
Auto
Teleop
End