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Red176
84661.7
63921.8
91072.4
Blue143
359134.9
37948.1
225265.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15614750100200250300176143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#1
72.40.4
72.072.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
65.00.1
65.165.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
846
#4
61.70.4
61.361.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
379
#15
48.10.1
48.248.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
639
#39
21.80.4
21.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
3591
#25
34.90.1
35.034.9
Auto
Teleop
End