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Red81
467512.5
178739.3
173151.9
Blue55
25444.5
260321.1
69439.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557501001502002508155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.91.9
28.630.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
694
#12
39.31.4
29.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1787
#14
39.31.9
19.821.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.1
2603
#33
21.11.4
30.028.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4675
#46
12.51.9
9.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
2544
#52
4.51.4
11.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End