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Red116
37846.2
217215.3
359134.9
Blue61
461148.0
467512.5
306723.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6951010015020025011661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#19
46.24.2
24.128.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4611
#41
48.00.6
19.319.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3591
#25
34.94.2
18.722.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
3067
#34
23.80.6
23.323.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2172
#31
15.34.2
23.427.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
4675
#46
12.50.6
11.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End