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Red20
53336.3
260321.1
4119-1.5
Blue159
320125.3
350433.7
446730.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6750010015020020159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#6
36.33.7
27.423.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3504
#22
33.78.9
21.130.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2603
#33
21.13.7
28.724.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
4467
#27
30.38.9
16.024.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4119
#48
-1.53.7
8.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.9
3201
#32
25.38.9
15.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End