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Red112
173151.9
359134.9
426942.4
Blue131
446730.3
124810.7
225265.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8384708090100110120130112131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.92.4
26.228.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
65.02.4
48.250.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4269
#24
42.41.4
40.541.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
4467
#27
30.34.0
14.118.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3591
#25
34.92.4
16.719.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.2
1248
#54
10.74.0
21.225.2
Auto
Teleop
End