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Red62
45121.0
326037.5
178739.3
Blue121
426942.4
461148.0
217215.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649205015020025062121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#14
39.30.5
27.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
4611
#41
48.02.8
19.922.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3260
#11
37.50.5
23.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4269
#24
42.41.7
39.841.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
451
#35
21.00.5
17.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2172
#31
15.32.8
27.530.3
Auto
Teleop
End