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Red92
178739.3
6319.5
507721.5
Blue8
4119-1.5
4142-2.5
130816.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58510100150200250928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#14
39.32.9
16.819.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.4
1308
#42
16.83.6
17.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5077
#36
21.54.6
21.516.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.1
4119
#48
-1.53.6
16.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
63
#37
19.52.9
25.928.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
4142
#53
-2.53.6
17.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End