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Red171
493036.5
45121.0
173151.9
Blue51
362422.7
467512.5
53336.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037105015020017151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.95.3
50.856.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
533
#6
36.31.8
31.930.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4930
#13
36.55.3
30.335.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
3624
#18
22.71.8
27.425.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
451
#35
21.05.3
16.722.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
4675
#46
12.51.8
16.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End