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Red40
362422.7
306723.8
159020.1
Blue108
408553.9
201027.5
348410.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6185010015020025040108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3067
#34
23.82.1
24.222.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.0
53.91.4
45.246.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3624
#18
22.72.1
22.320.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2010
#17
27.52.3
18.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1590
#43
20.12.1
18.216.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
3484
#26
10.42.3
16.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End