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Red155
326037.5
426942.4
53336.3
Blue121
362422.7
30335.4
91072.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10413450150200250155121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4269
#24
42.42.3
43.445.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.0
910
#1
72.40.4
70.470.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3260
#11
37.53.1
35.338.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
303
#21
35.40.4
33.533.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
533
#6
36.33.1
30.133.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
3624
#18
22.70.6
25.625.0
Auto
Teleop
End