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Red141
91072.4
263223.4
306723.8
Blue116
52493.8
446730.3
173151.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12372050100150200250141116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#1
72.41.3
70.071.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
51.92.2
50.752.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3067
#34
23.81.6
22.223.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
4467
#27
30.32.2
28.130.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2632
#16
23.41.6
22.824.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.6
5249
#51
3.82.2
1.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End