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Red52
201027.5
30614.9
6319.5
Blue27
37777.9
225265.0
348410.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710101502005227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#17
27.50.7
28.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.5
65.03.3
66.463.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63
#37
19.50.7
20.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
3484
#26
10.44.1
15.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
306
#38
14.90.7
15.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3777
#45
7.94.1
12.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End