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Semifinal 1-12014 Buckeye Regional
Red114
91072.4
84661.7
63921.8
Blue91
408553.9
131744.1
461148.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14915210012014016018020022011491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#1
72.40.6
70.6→70.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.6
4085
#9
53.91.0
55.7→54.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
846
#4
61.70.7
59.6→59.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.7
4611
#41
48.01.1
50.1→48.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
639
#39
21.80.7
19.8→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 22.2
1317
#7
44.11.1
46.1→45.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—