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Red135
173151.9
150769.9
348410.4
Blue174
225265.0
37948.1
359134.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13014450100200250135174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.90.1
69.969.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
65.00.5
63.163.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
51.90.1
51.851.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
379
#15
48.10.5
46.246.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3484
#26
10.40.1
10.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.5
3591
#25
34.90.6
32.833.4
Auto
Teleop
End