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Red115
150769.9
348410.4
493036.5
Blue219
225265.0
37948.1
359134.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11115050200250115219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.90.0
69.969.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
65.01.3
63.664.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4930
#13
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
379
#15
48.11.3
46.748.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3484
#26
10.40.0
10.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.5
3591
#25
34.91.4
33.434.8
Auto
Teleop
End