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Red40
352863.6
235226.1
350739.8
Blue251
242435.8
452283.4
366044.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12816105010020025030040251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.61.5
64.763.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.8
83.41.6
81.082.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
39.81.5
41.039.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
44.81.9
41.943.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2352
#36
26.11.5
27.325.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
2424
#24
35.81.9
32.934.9
Auto
Teleop
End