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Red115
171018.2
238834.6
93235.3
Blue120
277333.1
317913.3
448741.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808350100150115120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
932
#39
35.31.6
33.134.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
4487
#22
41.22.6
38.641.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2388
#21
34.61.6
33.034.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2773
#28
33.11.9
31.133.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1710
#57
18.22.2
16.018.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
3179
#48
13.31.9
11.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End