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Red29
315218.0
235419.1
379812.1
Blue5
346519.4
171018.2
400514.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45580100150295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2354
#45
19.11.5
18.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3465
#61
19.44.2
13.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3152
#56
18.01.5
14.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1710
#57
18.24.2
25.421.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3798
#49
12.11.5
13.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
4005
#55
14.84.2
16.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End