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Red85
452321.4
64716.7
359357.7
Blue10
315218.0
346519.4
235931.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103290501502008510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#14
57.70.3
51.050.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
2359
#26
31.41.5
17.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4523
#38
21.40.6
23.422.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3465
#61
19.42.6
9.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
647
#53
16.70.3
17.417.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3152
#56
18.02.6
13.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End