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Red20
235419.1
316928.5
500127.4
Blue97
359357.7
272320.3
129632.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391010501502002097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3169
#40
28.52.4
12.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.2
3593
#14
57.70.3
50.751.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5001
#13
27.42.4
21.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1296
#29
32.20.3
31.431.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2354
#45
19.12.4
15.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2723
#33
20.30.5
9.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End