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Qual 512014 Oklahoma Regional
Red30
346519.4
175045.8
239818.5
Blue42
461224.8
238834.6
238921.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31690204060801001201401603042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1750
#15
45.80.6
25.7→25.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.2
2388
#21
34.61.0
32.4→31.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3465
#61
19.40.6
7.6→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.4
4612
#16
24.81.7
13.3→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2398
#59
18.50.6
3.4→2.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.7
2389
#51
21.31.7
16.9→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—