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Red57
172340.7
317913.3
316323.0
Blue85
393129.2
493325.3
272320.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585902040801001205785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#35
40.70.1
36.136.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
3931
#17
29.21.4
21.422.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3163
#43
23.00.2
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
4933
#30
25.32.3
27.029.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3179
#48
13.30.1
12.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
2723
#33
20.32.3
9.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End