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Red126
461224.8
239818.5
246137.5
Blue31
200418.3
238217.2
239519.8
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3257020408010012014016012631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2461
#18
37.54.5
21.926.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
2395
#31
19.81.9
24.822.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4612
#16
24.87.5
11.519.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2004
#23
18.31.9
23.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2398
#59
18.57.5
2.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2382
#62
17.21.9
5.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End