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Red153
242435.8
246137.5
238921.3
Blue23
336615.6
500127.4
379812.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6540010015020015323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2461
#18
37.54.6
26.430.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
5001
#13
27.41.8
13.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2424
#24
35.87.6
20.628.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.2
3366
#54
15.61.1
16.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2389
#51
21.37.6
14.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
3798
#49
12.11.8
14.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End