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Red142
238217.2
235226.1
172340.7
Blue121
346519.4
238921.3
345721.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70500100150200250142121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#35
40.73.7
40.243.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
3457
#41
21.94.9
20.325.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2352
#36
26.13.7
23.026.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2389
#51
21.34.9
22.127.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2382
#62
17.25.4
3.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
3465
#61
19.44.9
10.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End