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Red130
235419.1
316040.4
238834.6
Blue76
378423.6
234140.6
393129.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939805015020013076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3160
#10
40.41.8
37.939.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2341
#12
40.61.5
41.139.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2388
#21
34.61.8
31.233.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
3931
#17
29.21.1
29.828.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2354
#45
19.12.6
25.127.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3784
#34
23.61.1
26.525.5
Auto
Teleop
End