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Red2
43497.5
346519.4
316928.5
Blue101
317913.3
276520.5
241049.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38770501001502002101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3169
#40
28.53.5
15.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
49.81.5
44.345.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3465
#61
19.43.5
17.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2765
#46
20.52.5
17.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4349
#44
7.53.5
11.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
3179
#48
13.31.5
9.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End