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Red250
246137.5
448741.2
144835.7
Blue71
316928.5
239818.5
120922.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8042010015020025025071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4487
#22
41.212.7
25.838.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
3169
#40
28.51.6
19.120.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2461
#18
37.58.8
30.639.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
1209
#32
22.81.1
19.420.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1448
#25
35.712.7
17.330.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
2398
#59
18.51.6
9.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End