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Red175
346519.4
452283.4
242435.8
Blue131
272320.3
93562.1
216542.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118127050100150200250175131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.42.8
76.779.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.3
935
#6
62.10.3
65.365.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2424
#24
35.83.7
27.331.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
2165
#19
42.20.3
43.043.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3465
#61
19.43.7
15.719.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2723
#33
20.30.3
17.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End