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Red137
242435.8
452283.4
366044.8
Blue128
93562.1
177576.0
235419.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14816750100200250300137128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.40.2
79.579.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
76.00.6
78.177.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.80.3
40.039.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.3
935
#6
62.10.6
64.263.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2424
#24
35.80.3
31.030.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
2354
#45
19.10.7
21.720.9
Auto
Teleop
End