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Red151
491459.2
499229.6
201357.1
Blue188
494652.0
357143.3
434345.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181206080100140160180200151188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4914
#30
59.21.6
54.656.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
52.03.5
42.946.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
57.11.6
43.144.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
45.23.5
34.237.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4992
#17
29.61.6
22.323.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
3571
#13
43.33.9
40.844.7
Auto
Teleop
End