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Red107
470416.7
371045.3
201357.1
Blue63
400139.8
415220.2
519136.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147605010015020025010763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.0
43.443.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
4001
#16
39.80.9
32.631.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.30.0
41.341.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
5191
#25
36.21.5
35.734.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4704
#29
16.70.1
23.123.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4152
#24
20.21.5
13.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End