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Red146
499229.6
260947.0
357143.3
Blue186
133443.5
18863.8
238636.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115104050150200250300350146186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#14
47.01.6
44.045.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
188
#1
63.84.0
43.747.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3571
#13
43.31.6
44.145.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1334
#12
43.54.0
41.345.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4992
#17
29.61.6
25.527.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
36.04.0
20.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End