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Red33
516411.8
447658.8
503520.3
Blue140
131065.7
133443.5
406954.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9117005015020025030035033140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#11
58.83.5
61.157.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
65.70.9
60.759.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5035
#23
20.35.1
25.320.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 34.4
4069
#10
54.80.9
52.551.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5164
#21
11.85.1
16.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.8
1334
#12
43.50.9
44.643.7
Auto
Teleop
End