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Red82
495121.9
354323.4
133443.5
Blue176
131065.7
499229.6
371045.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7513905010020025082176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#12
43.50.2
43.743.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.2
65.72.4
59.862.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3543
#20
23.40.2
21.921.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.9
45.32.4
40.643.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4951
#22
21.90.2
19.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
4992
#17
29.62.4
28.430.7
Auto
Teleop
End